The Thinker’s Toolkit
As an author I am always on the lookout for interesting new business books. I have just finished The Thinker’s Toolkit by former CIA analyst, Morgan Jones. I can recommend it. He shows how systematic analytical techniques are much better than seat-of the-pants decision making. He explains 14 methods including some that I already use in my workshops. One of the most interesting thing I learned was that in comparing rival hypotheses you should choose not the one with most supporting evidence but the one with the weakest contradictory evidence.Â
Paul Sloane